Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000669 0.000761 0.000858 0.000969 0.001090 0.001219 0.001367
2025-09-28 0.000516 0.000641 0.000782 0.000952 0.001152 0.001376 0.001645
2025-10-05 0.000453 0.000596 0.000765 0.000978 0.001236 0.001536 0.001908
2025-10-12 0.000400 0.000556 0.000747 0.000995 0.001305 0.001676 0.002149
2025-10-19 0.000349 0.000509 0.000713 0.000986 0.001338 0.001769 0.002331
2025-10-26 0.000307 0.000468 0.000681 0.000976 0.001364 0.001851 0.002499
2025-11-02 0.000278 0.000443 0.000666 0.000984 0.001412 0.001960 0.002701
2025-11-09 0.000250 0.000415 0.000647 0.000983 0.001446 0.002050 0.002880
2025-11-16 0.000217 0.000377 0.000608 0.000953 0.001439 0.002083 0.002984
2025-11-23 0.000191 0.000346 0.000577 0.000930 0.001438 0.002124 0.003097
2025-11-30 0.000173 0.000326 0.000560 0.000925 0.001462 0.002197 0.003254
2025-12-07 0.000157 0.000308 0.000545 0.000923 0.001488 0.002273 0.003416
2025-12-14 0.000141 0.000288 0.000525 0.000912 0.001502 0.002333 0.003558
2025-12-21 0.000125 0.000266 0.000502 0.000896 0.001505 0.002379 0.003682
2025-12-28 0.000119 0.000262 0.000506 0.000921 0.001572 0.002514 0.003935
2026-01-04 0.000111 0.000255 0.000505 0.000936 0.001624 0.002631 0.004162
2026-01-11 0.000101 0.000240 0.000489 0.000928 0.001639 0.002693 0.004313
2026-01-18 0.000091 0.000226 0.000473 0.000918 0.001650 0.002748 0.004453
2026-01-25 0.000085 0.000218 0.000468 0.000926 0.001689 0.002846 0.004657
2026-02-01 0.000078 0.000208 0.000458 0.000925 0.001713 0.002923 0.004832
2026-02-08 0.000068 0.000190 0.000433 0.000896 0.001692 0.002927 0.004899
2026-02-15 0.000060 0.000176 0.000413 0.000875 0.001680 0.002946 0.004987
2026-02-22 0.000055 0.000167 0.000403 0.000870 0.001697 0.003010 0.005143